nos-trum. pronunciation: \nos'-trum\. noun. Etymology: Latin, neuter of noster our, ours.
1. a medicine of secret composition recommended by its preparer but usually without scientific proof of its effectiveness.
2. a usually questionable remedy or scheme.
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Saturday, December 4, 2010

Data From The Beginning Of The Flu Season

Case numbers have started to pick up.  The wave has started in the Southeast US.

This map is current as of November 27, the latest date for which there is reporting.  You can see more stats here.

I'm not sure how this looks in black-and-white (Kindle).  Maine and the Dakotas are reporting no cases yet.  There is local activity in the SE, with Georgia being the only state to report "regional" activity.

I looked at the types.  Only 5% are the 2009 H1N1.  The rest is divided equally between seasonal influenza A and B.

There's also a global map here.  It shows that H1N1 is considerably more prevalent in Europe and Australia.  Possibly it arrived late in the season last year and had less time to disseminate.  Totally speculative.

It's shaping up to be a typical season; which means only about 10,000 deaths.  That sounds like a lot, but is low; a severe year would be 40,000 or more.  People think of the flu as almost benign, if unpleasant.

Doc D

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